Hissing Dragon-Squirming Tiger:

Comparisons, Negotiations

and Attitudes continues....

As per the above broad guidelines, using specially created formulas,

China’s own assessments of their CNP, compared to those of selected

other countries in a top-down ranking, made separately by the military

and civilian academic institutions, are as under:

For 2000; by Col. Huang Shuofeng, Academy of Military Sciences

(AMS),1996:

USA CNP rank: 1

Japan CNP rank: 4

USSR CNP rank: 2

China CNP rank: 5

India CNP rank: 8

For 2010; based on Col. Huang's formulations and yearly growth

rate, are as below, with the CNP scores on the basis of the USA =100:

USA CNP rank: 1 CNP score: 100

Japan CNP rank: 4 CNP score: 69

China CNP rank: 3 CNP score: 72

India CNP rank: 9 CNP score: 44

For 2010; based on the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences

(CASS) assessments:

USA CNP rank: 1 CNP score: 100

Japan CNP rank: 2 CNP score: 97

Russia CNP rank: 5 CNP score: 57

China CNP rank: 8 CNP score: 52

India CNP rank: 13 CNP score: 26

Similarly, there are other CNP calculations made by other military

and civilian institutes, and projected scores and rankings for 2020 are

also available. The Chinese take the study of Military Science very

seriously, and use these CNP scores for calculations in the war-gaming

of future war scenarios. ‘Military Science’ for the Chinese implies not

only military operational art but also several other specific approaches;

there is no exact Western or Indian equivalent, even though computer

war-gaming is widely used everywhere.

Chinese Military Science

believes the CNP scores are useful indicators of war-fighting capability For 2020, as per the military assessments of CNP, assuming China’s

growth rate to be 5.8 percent, double the U.S. rate of 2.8 percent, the

USA and China CNP scores will be equal. For 2030, the military

assessment of CNP has the USA dropping to third place, after China,

Japan and Germany, and India will be sixth. The military assessments

are consistent with their current strategic belief that a multi-polar world

is emerging, which will resemble the Warring States period in China

(475-221 BCE).

To be continued.....