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National Security Doctrine for Global Reach continues....
Both sides will suffer irrespective of first strike by either: because the wind movements are such in the South Asian peninsula, radio-active fall out thus carried by winds will kill innocent citizens of both countries, no matter who drops the nuclear bomb on whom. But let it be understood, that no matter who starts the Indo-Pakistan nuclear war, New Delhi will be devastated either by the blast of an attacking Pakistan bomb or by the drifting radio active clouds from an Indian bomb dropped on Pakistan. Of course Pakistan too will die with us, but does that compensate for the devastation of our civilization? This is how interlinked we are by geography.
If a nuclear deterrent against Pakistan is a negative sum game, then is the intention of the doctrine instead to have a deterrent against China and USA? Will we be able to produce enough bombs and missiles to survive and inflict huge unacceptable damage on these two countries on a second strike, so as to deter them from making the first strike in the first place? The National Security Advisory Board’s Document [2001] states as its objective that “the fundamental purpose of India nuclear weapons is to deter the use and threat of use of nuclear weapons by any state or entity (SIC)
against India.”
The question lies in whether we can progress in the economy sufficiently rapidly, as such a modern deterrent of such reach would require resources. Let us recall why the mighty military empire called the USSR collapsed into sixteen separate countries in 1992. From 1946, year after year, the USSR kept pace with the growing American defence technology. But its anti-individual, anti-incentive, anti-democratic ideology could not produce commensurate economic growth, so the USSR had to tighten its belt more and more every year to meet the rising cost of new technology in defence. The US President Mr. Reagan had introduced the mega-weapon Star Wars technology in 1981. To keep up with Star Wars would have required huge resources. The USSR just did not have enough resources to match that.
to be continued....