Hissing Dragon-Squirming Tiger:

Comparisons, Negotiations

and Attitudes continues....

Secondly, China’s ongoing military

preparations for being able to engage in ‘Local War under Informationized Conditions’ will be well in hand in the period 2020- 30, which will give them the self-confidence they desire to have in

dealing with any political or military contingency that could possibly

arise on its periphery.

Thirdly, sometime in the period 2020-30, or even before, the Dalai Lama can be expected to have passed away, and the

PRC has already announced its intention to be a participant in the selection process for the new reincarnation. With this situation having passed off peacefully under Chinese control, Chinese misgivings about the potential for India to create trouble for it in Tibet when the Dalai Lama dies will be over.

Therefore it seems unlikely that the PRC will want to finalise the border till sometime in 2020-2030, and till then will want to keep it a live issue, with deliberate occasional pinpricks to keep India on edge and on the defensive.

The Chinese military excursions in April-March 2013 on to the Dapsang plateau in the Aksai Chin area, and those of April-May 2020 in the Galwan River Valley and eastern Ladakh are examples. So India will have to learn to live with it,

and to devise a strategy of its own to deal with it.

To be continued....